Académica vs Uniao Tomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1972 |
SLB
3 - 1
ACA
84%
11%
5%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1972 |
ACA
1 - 1
TIR
78%
15%
8%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1972 |
BMA
1 - 0
ACA
40%
28%
32%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1972 |
ACA
0 - 2
VST
29%
28%
43%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1972 |
FAB
2 - 2
ACA
55%
25%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Uniao Tomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1972 |
UFT
1 - 0
LEX
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1972 |
ATL
2 - 0
UFT
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1972 |
UFT
4 - 1
FCB
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1972 |
BOA
2 - 0
UFT
58%
23%
20%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1972 |
BEL
2 - 0
UFT
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |