Académica vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ACA
1 - 1
MAR
26%
27%
47%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
FCP
4 - 1
ACA
79%
15%
6%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SCP
1 - 0
ACA
74%
18%
9%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
ACA
1 - 0
RIO
34%
29%
37%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
VIT
4 - 0
ACA
63%
23%
14%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
FAR
0 - 5
UNM
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
UNM
2 - 1
RIO
29%
27%
45%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
UNM
0 - 0
BMA
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
UNM
0 - 0
ORI
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2015 |
FCP
3 - 1
UNM
80%
15%
5%
|
65 | 89 | 24 | 0 |