Académica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
52.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
GFC
2 - 0
ACA
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 1
ACA
61%
22%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
ACA
1 - 1
PAÇ
28%
28%
45%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
VST
0 - 1
ACA
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ACA
1 - 0
MOR
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
SCP
5 - 1
ARO
67%
21%
12%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
SCP
0 - 0
SPB
30%
26%
44%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2013 |
SCP
2 - 3
WHU
53%
25%
22%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
EST
3 - 3
SCP
29%
25%
46%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
BMA
1 - 4
SCP
19%
26%
55%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |