Académica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
60.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
PEN
3 - 1
ACA
42%
26%
33%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2004 |
ACA
1 - 1
BEL
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2004 |
EST
0 - 1
ACA
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
ACA
0 - 1
UDL
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
RIO
3 - 1
ACA
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2004 |
SCP
0 - 1
SOC
45%
26%
28%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
SCP
4 - 1
MOR
72%
18%
9%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2004 |
DTB
0 - 4
SCP
36%
24%
40%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
BMA
2 - 2
SCP
18%
22%
60%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
SCP
6 - 1
BOA
62%
23%
15%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |