Académica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
53.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1936 |
FCP
5 - 1
ACA
82%
11%
7%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1936 |
ACA
3 - 0
CAR
48%
22%
31%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1935 |
ULI
1 - 0
ACA
61%
19%
20%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 1935 |
ACA
0 - 1
VST
46%
22%
33%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1935 |
SLB
4 - 1
ACA
79%
12%
9%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1936 |
CAR
1 - 2
SCP
36%
21%
43%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1936 |
SCP
3 - 2
FCP
56%
20%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1935 |
SCP
2 - 2
FCP
60%
19%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1935 |
ULI
4 - 5
SCP
32%
21%
47%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1935 |
VST
0 - 1
SCP
46%
21%
33%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |