Académica vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
24.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
ACA
1 - 1
SCP
23%
21%
56%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1956 |
LGC
1 - 1
ACA
58%
21%
21%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1956 |
ACA
2 - 2
CAL
79%
13%
8%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1956 |
FCB
3 - 1
ACA
52%
22%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 1956 |
ACA
1 - 0
SLB
22%
20%
58%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | +2 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
ATL
3 - 2
SPC
51%
22%
27%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1956 |
SPC
1 - 1
SCP
21%
21%
57%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1956 |
VST
3 - 3
SPC
52%
22%
26%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1956 |
LGC
4 - 0
SPC
50%
23%
28%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1956 |
TOR
2 - 4
SPC
39%
23%
39%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |