Académica vs Montijo CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1974 |
FAB
0 - 0
ACA
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
ACA
1 - 0
FAR
63%
23%
14%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
ORI
0 - 3
ACA
35%
29%
36%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
ACA
0 - 0
BEL
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1974 |
LEX
1 - 0
ACA
45%
28%
27%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Montijo CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
CDM
1 - 4
SCP
16%
21%
64%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
SLB
5 - 1
CDM
89%
7%
4%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
CDM
1 - 1
VIT
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
FCP
1 - 0
CDM
78%
14%
8%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1974 |
BMA
3 - 1
CDM
41%
24%
35%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |