Académica vs Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
30.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2003 |
VIT
1 - 0
ACA
60%
21%
19%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
ACA
2 - 0
GFC
45%
26%
30%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2003 |
SCP
1 - 0
ACA
75%
17%
9%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
BOA
4 - 1
ACA
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2003 |
ACA
3 - 1
CHA
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 1
FCP
21%
25%
54%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
VST
1 - 0
MAR
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 3
NAC
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
UDL
3 - 0
MAR
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 2
SLB
31%
25%
44%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |