Académica vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
12.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
FCB
2 - 2
ACA
33%
26%
42%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
ACA
5 - 0
BMA
69%
17%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
SCP
5 - 2
ACA
73%
16%
11%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
ACA
5 - 0
LGC
80%
13%
7%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
VAR
1 - 2
ACA
44%
24%
32%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
LEX
2 - 0
BEL
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1966 |
BMA
2 - 2
LEX
58%
19%
23%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1966 |
LEX
1 - 1
BMA
58%
18%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1966 |
BMA
1 - 1
LEX
58%
19%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
LEX
2 - 1
FCB
76%
14%
10%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |