Académica vs Gil Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
28.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2012 |
ACA
1 - 1
VKP
28%
28%
44%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
ACA
1 - 0
PEN
83%
13%
4%
|
77 | 30 | 47 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
FCP
2 - 1
ACA
76%
16%
9%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2012 |
ACA
2 - 0
ATM
12%
21%
67%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ACA
0 - 2
EST
51%
27%
22%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
MIR
1 - 2
GFC
16%
20%
64%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
GFC
0 - 1
PAÇ
40%
27%
34%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
SPB
3 - 1
GFC
73%
17%
9%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
GFC
0 - 3
SLB
20%
23%
57%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
GON
0 - 2
GFC
14%
22%
64%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |