Académica vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
59.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 0
ACA
48%
27%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
ACA
0 - 1
RIO
51%
27%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2010 |
BEL
1 - 2
ACA
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
ACA
1 - 1
OLH
56%
25%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
FCP
1 - 0
ACA
68%
20%
11%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2010 |
ARS
5 - 0
FCP
65%
20%
15%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
FCP
2 - 2
OLH
75%
17%
8%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
SCP
3 - 0
FCP
47%
24%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
FCP
5 - 1
SPB
59%
24%
17%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
FCP
2 - 1
ARS
28%
26%
46%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |