Académica vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
54.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
EST
3 - 3
ACA
41%
29%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
ACA
0 - 0
UDL
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
AVE
2 - 2
ACA
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
ACA
0 - 2
PAÇ
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
NAC
4 - 0
ACA
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2007 |
FCP
5 - 1
VST
72%
19%
9%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
SLB
1 - 1
FCP
43%
27%
30%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
FCP
0 - 1
SCP
49%
26%
25%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 2
FCP
21%
27%
52%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2007 |
CHL
2 - 1
FCP
74%
18%
9%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | -1 |