Académica vs CF Estrela Amadora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
ACA
1 - 0
AVE
59%
23%
19%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
CHA
7 - 0
ACA
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
ACA
1 - 0
ESP
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
UNI
2 - 2
ACA
30%
26%
44%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
ACA
2 - 1
RIO
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CF Estrela Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
EST
1 - 0
POR
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
AVE
2 - 1
EST
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
EST
2 - 0
OLI
66%
20%
13%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
CHA
0 - 1
EST
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
EST
2 - 0
OVA
60%
22%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |