Mario Méndez vs Herrera II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
9.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mario Méndez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
AFM
0 - 1
OES
69%
19%
11%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 1
AFM
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
AFM
2 - 2
IDC
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
AFM
1 - 0
SAP
66%
21%
14%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
SFF
2 - 3
AFM
28%
26%
46%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Herrera II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
NAC
0 - 0
HFC
77%
15%
9%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
HFC
2 - 5
SFF
29%
25%
46%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
HFC
1 - 0
OES
30%
25%
45%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
IDC
2 - 3
HFC
76%
15%
9%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
HFC
1 - 2
UFC
24%
24%
53%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |