Reggiana vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
29%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
NOV
2 - 2
REG
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
REG
1 - 0
SAS
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
PAD
2 - 0
REG
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
REG
2 - 2
ACP
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
ACL
1 - 0
REG
48%
24%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
CTT
0 - 0
CES
43%
28%
30%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
CTT
0 - 2
PRO
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
ARZ
1 - 0
CTT
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
CTT
2 - 0
VAR
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
PIS
1 - 0
CTT
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |