Prato vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
39.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
ACP
1 - 1
PIS
31%
28%
41%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
GRO
2 - 0
ACP
67%
20%
13%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
ACP
0 - 1
VIT
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
SPE
3 - 0
ACP
62%
23%
16%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
ACP
0 - 1
PRO
33%
27%
40%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
ASL
1 - 1
FIA
46%
29%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
ACI
0 - 1
ASL
36%
30%
34%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
ASL
2 - 2
FRO
29%
27%
43%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2005 |
MAN
4 - 0
ASL
62%
23%
15%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
ASL
0 - 0
ACS
54%
25%
22%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |