Prato vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
NOV
4 - 1
ACP
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
ACP
2 - 1
COM
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
USA
1 - 0
ACP
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
ACP
2 - 1
REG
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
GEN
1 - 1
ACP
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
FCC
0 - 0
MES
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
PAL
0 - 0
FCC
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
ACM
0 - 0
FCC
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
FCC
1 - 0
SSS
57%
23%
19%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
FCC
1 - 0
ASS
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |