Pavia vs US Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
51%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
COM
1 - 0
PAV
60%
23%
17%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
PAV
0 - 2
OLB
49%
26%
25%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
ACR
1 - 1
PAV
57%
24%
20%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
PAV
2 - 1
FCS
56%
24%
20%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
FSD
0 - 2
PAV
63%
22%
16%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2009 |
USA
1 - 1
ACS
73%
18%
10%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
VAL
0 - 1
USA
16%
24%
60%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
USA
1 - 1
VAR
66%
21%
13%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
USA
0 - 0
ITA
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
ACM
1 - 2
USA
18%
24%
57%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |