Pavia vs Savona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
11.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
VIC
2 - 1
PAV
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
PAV
2 - 3
POR
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
REG
0 - 1
PAV
43%
27%
31%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
PAV
0 - 2
ABN
27%
27%
46%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
TRA
3 - 0
PAV
64%
22%
14%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Savona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
SAV
2 - 3
ABN
15%
24%
62%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
CTT
1 - 0
SAV
76%
16%
8%
|
40 | 64 | 24 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
PRG
0 - 1
SAV
74%
17%
9%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
VNZ
3 - 2
SAV
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
SAV
3 - 1
SCH
59%
21%
19%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |