Pavia vs Derthona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.6%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.4%
3.9%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
VAR
2 - 2
PAV
13%
21%
67%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
PAV
1 - 2
COM
29%
25%
46%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
OLG
1 - 1
PAV
13%
21%
66%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
PAV
2 - 1
FOL
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
GOZ
3 - 4
PAV
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
DER
1 - 1
VAR
7%
18%
76%
|
23 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ARC
0 - 1
DER
67%
18%
15%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
COM
1 - 0
DER
83%
13%
4%
|
23 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
DER
0 - 4
PRO
13%
23%
65%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
FOL
0 - 0
DER
78%
15%
7%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |