Pavia vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
27.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 0
PAV
23%
27%
51%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2016 |
PAV
0 - 2
USA
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
BV5
1 - 4
PAV
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
PAV
1 - 2
REN
66%
21%
13%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
PAD
3 - 0
PAV
51%
26%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
REG
2 - 2
CTT
26%
27%
47%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
POR
1 - 0
REG
43%
28%
29%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
REG
1 - 0
PRO
76%
17%
7%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CUN
1 - 2
REG
20%
26%
54%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
REG
0 - 0
FCS
54%
25%
21%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |