Pavia vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
12.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ABN
0 - 2
PAV
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
PAV
3 - 3
NOV
25%
26%
49%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
PAV
0 - 1
USA
56%
24%
21%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
FER
3 - 4
PAV
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
PAV
2 - 0
ASS
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
MAN
2 - 0
PRO
52%
24%
23%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2015 |
ARZ
1 - 0
MAN
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
MAN
2 - 0
REN
43%
26%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Jan. 2015 |
VNZ
1 - 0
MAN
65%
20%
16%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
MAN
2 - 1
ACL
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |