AC Paranavaí vs Nacional PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Paranavaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
ACP
2 - 1
FRB
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ACP
0 - 3
PAR
20%
24%
56%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
RIO
3 - 0
ACP
55%
23%
23%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ACP
0 - 4
LON
21%
23%
56%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ACP
2 - 0
NPR
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
NPR
3 - 1
JTF
46%
25%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CIA
2 - 2
NPR
66%
21%
13%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
NPR
0 - 1
ARA
23%
25%
52%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
OPE
0 - 1
NPR
71%
19%
10%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ACP
2 - 0
NPR
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |