AC Monza vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
REG
1 - 1
ASS
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ASS
2 - 0
UNI
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
LEC
1 - 1
ASS
35%
29%
36%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
PRO
2 - 2
ASS
41%
28%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
ASS
2 - 1
VNZ
55%
25%
20%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
SSS
0 - 1
RAV
22%
25%
53%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
PAD
2 - 0
SSS
61%
23%
16%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
SSS
0 - 0
POR
38%
27%
34%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
ACL
2 - 2
SSS
47%
27%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
SSS
0 - 0
SPA
34%
27%
38%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |