AC Monza vs Sondrio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.5%
4.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
GRU
2 - 0
ASS
35%
27%
38%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ASS
2 - 2
VAR
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
ASS
1 - 1
PER
77%
15%
8%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
PSM
1 - 0
ASS
23%
25%
52%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
ASS
0 - 3
ACM
9%
18%
73%
|
46 | 87 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Sondrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
SON
1 - 3
PIA
12%
18%
71%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
PER
0 - 0
SON
65%
20%
16%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
SON
0 - 1
FOL
50%
24%
26%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CIS
2 - 0
SON
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SON
2 - 2
VBE
23%
22%
55%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +1 |