AC Monza vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
18.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
15.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1971 |
ASS
1 - 0
LIV
53%
28%
19%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
MAN
0 - 0
ASS
59%
25%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
TER
1 - 1
ASS
48%
30%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
MAS
1 - 0
ASS
26%
28%
46%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1970 |
BAR
1 - 0
ASS
55%
27%
19%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
MOD
1 - 0
BAR
39%
31%
30%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
MOD
1 - 0
BRE
37%
32%
31%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
LIV
0 - 0
MOD
51%
31%
18%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
MOD
0 - 0
CAS
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
FCC
0 - 0
MOD
50%
31%
19%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |