AC Monza vs Matelica Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
14.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2018 |
ASS
0 - 1
PIA
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
ASS
3 - 0
OLB
63%
23%
15%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
CUN
0 - 1
ASS
21%
27%
52%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ASS
1 - 1
GER
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
ARZ
0 - 1
ASS
43%
29%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
MAT
2 - 0
PIN
48%
23%
29%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
MAT
3 - 0
LAQ
53%
24%
24%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
AVE
1 - 0
MAT
37%
27%
36%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
MAT
2 - 1
SAN
69%
19%
12%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
REC
2 - 1
MAT
22%
24%
55%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -1 |