AC Monza vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
ACP
3 - 1
ASS
51%
27%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
ASS
3 - 0
SSS
58%
23%
18%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
ASS
0 - 3
BAR
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -2 |
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
ASS
0 - 0
BRE
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1961 |
ACM
1 - 3
ASS
41%
29%
29%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ASL
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
ASL
2 - 0
USA
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
ACP
1 - 0
ASL
59%
22%
20%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1958 |
ASL
0 - 4
PIS
60%
21%
19%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1953 |
ASL
1 - 3
PAD
54%
23%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |