AC Monza vs Darfo Boario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
LEC
0 - 5
ASS
72%
18%
10%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
FOL
2 - 1
ASS
39%
27%
34%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
SER
1 - 1
ASS
52%
24%
24%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ASS
2 - 3
CAR
81%
14%
6%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
MAP
0 - 2
ASS
27%
27%
46%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Darfo Boario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
DAR
4 - 0
VIR
83%
11%
6%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
DAR
1 - 0
DCA
62%
21%
17%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
VIG
0 - 0
DAR
24%
22%
54%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CRE
4 - 0
DAR
48%
23%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
DAR
2 - 3
RIG
44%
24%
32%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |