AC Monza vs Arzachena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
25.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 0
ASS
44%
27%
30%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ASS
1 - 0
ASL
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
PIS
1 - 0
ASS
61%
25%
14%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
ASS
3 - 1
PIS
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
PIA
0 - 1
ASS
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Arzachena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
ARZ
3 - 0
PIA
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
PON
0 - 2
ARZ
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
ARZ
1 - 2
SIE
26%
26%
49%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 0
ARZ
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
ARZ
2 - 1
ARZ
30%
28%
42%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |