AC Montichiari vs Borgo a Buggiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
29.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Montichiari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ACG
2 - 2
ACM
46%
26%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
USP
5 - 2
ACM
37%
28%
35%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ACM
1 - 1
SAV
40%
27%
34%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
TRE
2 - 1
ACM
76%
16%
8%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ACM
1 - 1
VIN
59%
24%
18%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Borgo a Buggiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
BOR
1 - 2
USA
24%
27%
50%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
RIM
2 - 0
BOR
78%
15%
8%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
BOR
3 - 2
CUN
22%
24%
54%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +3 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 2
BOR
62%
20%
18%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
BOR
1 - 1
REN
35%
26%
39%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |