AC Marzotto vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
22.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Marzotto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
NOV
1 - 1
ACM
78%
14%
8%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
ACM
0 - 0
CAG
47%
24%
28%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
SSS
3 - 1
ACM
59%
21%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
BRE
1 - 1
ACM
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
ACM
0 - 1
MES
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
PAR
0 - 0
BRE
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
COM
0 - 1
PAR
69%
18%
13%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
PAR
1 - 1
TAR
57%
23%
21%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
PAR
0 - 0
MOD
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
ASS
3 - 0
PAR
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |