AC Marzotto vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Marzotto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
BRE
4 - 1
ACM
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
UNI
1 - 0
ACM
64%
20%
16%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
ACM
1 - 0
COM
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
VIC
1 - 0
ACM
59%
23%
19%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
ACM
3 - 0
CAG
48%
24%
29%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
PAD
2 - 2
PAL
54%
24%
23%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
PAD
3 - 1
MES
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
MOD
4 - 2
PAD
54%
25%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
PAD
1 - 2
USA
61%
21%
18%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
TAR
0 - 1
PAD
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |