Lega Pro Group B Round 19

Mantova vs Triestina analysis

Mantova Triestina
52 ELO 56
9.4% Tilt 9.2%
1038º General ELO ranking 2722º
50º Country ELO ranking 99º
ELO win probability
40.8%
Mantova
25.1%
Draw
34.1%
Triestina

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
Mantova
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
34.1%
Win probability
Triestina
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mantova
+10%
+4%
Triestina

ELO progression

Mantova
Triestina
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mantova
Mantova
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jan. 2021
VIS
Vis Pesaro
1 - 4
Mantova
MAN
23%
25%
52%
51 46 5 0
23 Dec. 2020
MAN
Mantova
1 - 2
AS Gubbio 1910
ASG
55%
23%
22%
52 50 2 -1
20 Dec. 2020
LEG
Legnago Salus
0 - 0
Mantova
MAN
17%
22%
61%
52 42 10 0
13 Dec. 2020
MAN
Mantova
0 - 4
Cesena
CES
43%
25%
32%
53 55 2 -1
06 Dec. 2020
FER
Union Brescia
1 - 3
Mantova
MAN
50%
25%
26%
51 56 5 +2

Matches

Triestina
Triestina
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jan. 2021
TRI
Triestina
0 - 1
Fano
FAN
70%
21%
10%
56 43 13 0
23 Dec. 2020
FCS
FC Südtirol
1 - 2
Triestina
TRI
49%
26%
25%
55 59 4 +1
19 Dec. 2020
TRI
Triestina
2 - 1
Perugia
PRG
17%
25%
58%
54 68 14 +1
14 Dec. 2020
PAD
Padova
0 - 0
Triestina
TRI
57%
24%
19%
54 61 7 0
06 Dec. 2020
TRI
Triestina
0 - 1
Sambenedettese
SSS
47%
26%
27%
54 51 3 0