Mantova vs Renate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
SCH
1 - 3
MAN
49%
24%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 2
FAN
79%
15%
6%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 0
MAN
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -3 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
PRO
3 - 2
MAN
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
MAN
3 - 0
SAN
59%
24%
17%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Renate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
REN
1 - 2
SAV
39%
26%
35%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
BV5
0 - 2
REN
65%
21%
14%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
REN
2 - 0
RIM
28%
25%
46%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 2
REN
18%
25%
57%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
REN
1 - 3
BOR
51%
25%
24%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |