Mantova vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
45.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
ABN
1 - 0
MAN
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
MAN
2 - 1
SAS
36%
28%
37%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
REG
3 - 1
MAN
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
MAN
0 - 0
ASC
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
MAN
2 - 1
CRO
56%
25%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
LEC
1 - 1
TRI
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2010 |
CRO
1 - 1
LEC
27%
25%
47%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
LEC
0 - 0
MOD
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
FRO
0 - 4
LEC
31%
26%
43%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2010 |
LEC
1 - 0
PIA
67%
21%
12%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |