Lega Pro Girone B Round 13

Mantova vs Fano analysis

Mantova Fano
45 ELO 41
-11.8% Tilt -21%
1045º General ELO ranking 20157º
50º Country ELO ranking 508º
ELO win probability
56%
Mantova
24.1%
Draw
19.9%
Fano

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
Mantova
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.9%
Win probability
Fano
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Mantova
Fano
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mantova
Mantova
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Nov. 2016
TER
Teramo
0 - 1
Mantova
MAN
66%
21%
13%
44 51 7 0
29 Oct. 2016
MAN
Mantova
2 - 3
Reggiana
REG
23%
27%
51%
44 55 11 0
22 Oct. 2016
PAR
Parma
1 - 0
Mantova
MAN
80%
15%
5%
45 69 24 -1
15 Oct. 2016
MAN
Mantova
1 - 4
Bassano Virtus
BV5
19%
26%
55%
46 58 12 -1
08 Oct. 2016
MAC
Maceratese
1 - 0
Mantova
MAN
64%
22%
15%
46 52 6 0

Matches

Fano
Fano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Nov. 2016
ANC
Ancona 1905
1 - 0
Fano
FAN
57%
23%
21%
41 47 6 0
05 Nov. 2016
FAN
Fano
1 - 0
Forli
FOR
53%
24%
24%
41 37 4 0
29 Oct. 2016
FAN
Fano
0 - 1
Parma
PAR
8%
18%
74%
40 69 29 +1
22 Oct. 2016
FER
Union Brescia
0 - 0
Fano
FAN
73%
17%
10%
40 52 12 0
15 Oct. 2016
FAN
Fano
1 - 1
Ancona 1905
ANC
27%
26%
47%
40 48 8 0