Serie B . Jor. 38

Mantova vs Brescia analysis

Mantova Brescia
63 ELO 61
-19.3% Tilt -27.2%
2065º General ELO ranking 748º
55º Country ELO ranking 32º
ELO win probability
54%
Mantova
28.8%
Draw
17.1%
Brescia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
Mantova
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
19.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
14.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
17.1%
Win probability
Brescia
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mantova
+23%
+5%
Brescia

ELO progression

Mantova
Brescia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mantova
Mantova
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jun. 1973
CES
Cesena
2 - 1
Mantova
MAN
58%
27%
15%
63 68 5 0
03 Jun. 1973
MAN
Mantova
1 - 0
SS Arezzo
ARZ
55%
28%
17%
63 60 3 0
25 May. 1973
USF
Calcio Foggia
0 - 2
Mantova
MAN
66%
23%
11%
62 69 7 +1
20 May. 1973
MAN
Mantova
1 - 1
Lecco
LEC
64%
24%
11%
62 53 9 0
13 May. 1973
REG
Reggiana
0 - 0
Mantova
MAN
60%
26%
14%
62 65 3 0

Matches

Brescia
Brescia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jun. 1973
BRE
Brescia
2 - 0
Varese
VAR
46%
31%
24%
60 67 7 0
03 Jun. 1973
BAR
SSC Bari
2 - 1
Brescia
BRE
54%
29%
18%
61 59 2 -1
25 May. 1973
BRE
Brescia
0 - 0
Reggina
REG
65%
24%
12%
61 54 7 0
20 May. 1973
PRG
Perugia
2 - 0
Brescia
BRE
44%
33%
23%
62 58 4 -1
13 May. 1973
BRE
Brescia
1 - 1
Ascoli
ASC
46%
26%
28%
62 65 3 0
X