Mantova vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
18.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
14.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1970 |
USF
0 - 0
MAN
56%
27%
17%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1970 |
MAN
1 - 0
LIV
56%
28%
16%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1970 |
MAN
3 - 2
PIA
58%
25%
17%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1970 |
CES
1 - 1
MAN
44%
30%
26%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
MAN
4 - 1
PIS
46%
30%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1970 |
REG
0 - 0
TAR
54%
28%
18%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1970 |
REG
3 - 2
COM
42%
31%
28%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1970 |
CAT
2 - 0
REG
52%
30%
19%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1970 |
REG
2 - 2
REG
59%
27%
14%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
REG
1 - 2
LIV
46%
32%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |