Lumezzane vs US Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
43.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
PAD
1 - 0
ACL
74%
18%
8%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ACL
0 - 2
REG
27%
28%
45%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
GER
2 - 1
ACL
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ACL
1 - 1
PIA
52%
26%
22%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
REN
0 - 1
ACL
30%
27%
43%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
USA
0 - 0
USC
39%
28%
33%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CUN
0 - 1
USA
18%
25%
58%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
USA
1 - 2
FER
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
USA
1 - 0
JUS
33%
27%
40%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
LEO
1 - 2
USA
61%
24%
16%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |