Lumezzane vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
ARZ
1 - 3
ACL
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
ACL
2 - 0
PIS
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
CTT
3 - 0
ACL
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
ACL
0 - 0
SAS
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
ACP
1 - 2
ACL
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
PRO
1 - 1
ASL
40%
28%
32%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
REG
1 - 1
PRO
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
PRO
2 - 1
NOV
35%
28%
38%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
SPA
4 - 0
PRO
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
PRO
2 - 3
RIM
38%
28%
34%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |