Lumezzane vs Ciserano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 2
ACL
38%
25%
37%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
ACL
3 - 1
VBE
37%
24%
39%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
PON
2 - 0
ACL
70%
18%
12%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
ACL
3 - 0
DCA
60%
23%
17%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
CRE
1 - 0
ACL
55%
21%
24%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ciserano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
CIS
2 - 0
CAR
37%
26%
37%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
VBE
2 - 2
CIS
74%
16%
10%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
CIS
2 - 3
PON
15%
21%
65%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
DCA
4 - 4
CIS
50%
25%
25%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
CIS
0 - 3
CRE
24%
22%
54%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |