Hombourg vs Ster-Francorchamps analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
37.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hombourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
TRO
1 - 3
HOM
33%
23%
44%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
HOM
3 - 2
JSF
45%
22%
33%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
DUG
2 - 2
HOM
45%
23%
32%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
HOM
1 - 2
BEA
52%
21%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
HOM
3 - 3
JSF
43%
23%
34%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ster-Francorchamps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SFR
0 - 0
TIL
87%
9%
4%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
MEL
0 - 5
SFR
31%
25%
44%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
TRO
2 - 4
SFR
34%
23%
43%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
SFR
2 - 1
JSF
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SFR
2 - 2
RCL
29%
24%
47%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |