Hombourg vs Etoile De Faimes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
34.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
11º
9º
23
11º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 40 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
45% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 33 |
14º
|
45% | |
|
|
15º
|
23 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hombourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
SFR
1 - 2
HOM
71%
17%
13%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
HOM
1 - 5
WAN
22%
20%
58%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
HAN
1 - 1
HOM
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
HOM
4 - 0
SPC
63%
19%
18%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
HOM
2 - 2
EUP
42%
23%
35%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Etoile De Faimes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
EDF
2 - 2
MEL
39%
24%
38%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
EDF
1 - 1
OUG
42%
23%
35%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
WAN
1 - 1
EDF
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
EDF
1 - 0
SFR
31%
24%
45%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
EDF
1 - 2
HAN
27%
22%
51%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |