AC Este vs Villafranca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+80%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Este
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
NUO
1 - 1
ACE
29%
26%
45%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
MON
3 - 3
ACE
37%
26%
37%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
ACE
0 - 0
VNZ
24%
24%
53%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
ACE
1 - 1
UNI
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
CON
0 - 1
ACE
30%
25%
45%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
VIL
3 - 0
BEL
38%
25%
37%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 1
JES
24%
24%
53%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
VIR
2 - 1
VIL
56%
23%
21%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
VIL
0 - 0
DMG
39%
25%
36%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
MZN
0 - 1
VIL
40%
25%
36%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |