AC Este vs Pordenone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
51%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Este
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
VFS
2 - 1
ACE
24%
23%
53%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
ACE
7 - 1
ACM
71%
18%
11%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
URF
5 - 0
ACE
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
ACE
0 - 0
SCM
22%
25%
53%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
DCA
1 - 2
ACE
18%
22%
61%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Pordenone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
POR
5 - 0
SAN
83%
12%
4%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
FER
1 - 2
POR
15%
21%
64%
|
44 | 17 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
POR
2 - 1
TRI
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
BEL
0 - 2
POR
32%
27%
41%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
POR
1 - 3
GIO
83%
13%
4%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | -1 |