AC Este vs Formigine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
15.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Este
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ACE
2 - 1
THE
52%
22%
25%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
RIM
3 - 0
ACE
50%
25%
26%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ACE
4 - 1
RIB
72%
17%
12%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
JMO
2 - 4
ACE
32%
23%
44%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
PIA
1 - 4
ACE
71%
18%
12%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Formigine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SCA
2 - 1
FOR
60%
21%
19%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 0
FIO
41%
24%
35%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
COR
1 - 1
FOR
76%
16%
8%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 2
IMO
28%
24%
48%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
RIM
1 - 0
FOR
70%
18%
12%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |