Cesena vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
35.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
FER
2 - 2
CES
18%
26%
57%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2022 |
CES
2 - 2
REG
33%
28%
40%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
PES
1 - 0
CES
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
PIS
0 - 1
CES
17%
25%
58%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
CES
2 - 0
TER
64%
22%
15%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
ACD
3 - 1
PIS
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
GRO
1 - 0
ACD
16%
24%
60%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
ACD
2 - 0
ANC
49%
26%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
IMO
1 - 1
ACD
14%
22%
64%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2022 |
ACD
3 - 0
CAR
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |