Cesena vs Torino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
27.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
CRO
2 - 2
CES
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2006 |
TRI
0 - 1
CES
35%
28%
37%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
CES
2 - 2
PIA
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
BAR
2 - 3
CES
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2006 |
CES
2 - 1
USC
65%
22%
13%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
TOR
2 - 0
MAN
58%
25%
18%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
PIA
1 - 0
TOR
44%
28%
28%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
TOR
1 - 1
TER
62%
23%
16%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2006 |
BOL
1 - 1
TOR
57%
25%
18%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
TOR
2 - 0
FCC
74%
18%
7%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |