Cesena vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
24.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
PRG
0 - 3
CES
47%
27%
27%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
CES
3 - 3
USF
43%
26%
32%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 1
CES
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
CES
1 - 0
SPE
46%
28%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
LEO
5 - 2
CES
30%
28%
43%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
NOV
2 - 3
SAL
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
PAL
0 - 2
NOV
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
BRE
0 - 1
NOV
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
NOV
2 - 1
FRO
32%
28%
41%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
USF
2 - 2
NOV
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |